MLB Picks

Betting on MLB has grown in popularity with a growing number of states offering sports betting across the country. With promotions such as profit boosts and same-game parlays, sportsbooks have a number of ways to draw new users into their apps. Run lines, money lines and totals have become key parts of the daily discussion around MLB, and player props provide another way to take positions during the MLB season and the run up to the World Series. The futures market also allows bettors to wager on who will win the American and National Leagues or which player will be named MVP and Cy Young.

Today's Top Free Expert Picks

  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +184.5
    (78%)
    7-2 in Last 9 MLB Picks
    NYY @ SF • Fri 4:35pm
    SF +1.5
    -150
    Spread
    Picked: Mar 26 @ 10:13pm

    Analysis

    If you would have told me that Aaron Judge was going to go 0-for-5 with four strikeouts in the season opener, I would have given, I don't know, -350 odds that the Giants would have covered +1.5. Alas, they got smashed 7-0. Bit of a downgrade in this one pitching-wise, though, for the Yanks from Max Fried to second-year Cam Schittler even as good as CS was as a rookie. He's certainly no Robbie Ray as the former Cy Young winner goes for SF. He was absolutely lights out this spring for what that's worth.
  • expert headshot
    Angelo Magliocca
    Amags
    NYY @ SF • Fri 4:35pm
    NYY -1.5
    +140
    Spread
    Picked: Mar 27 @ 10:15am

    Analysis

    Value here on the Yankees to win tonight by multiple runs, should be closer to +117 so I'll take a shot. The offense scored seven runs in game one but Robbie Ray has looked much sharper than Logan Webb to end the spring so we'll see if that continues. The Yankees lineup likely trades in a few lefties for righties, but still profile as a strong lineup. Aaron Judge was brutal in game one but is 3/8 against Robbie Ray with three home runs in his career; something's got to give! The Yankees get all nine at bats and I want to have all the opportunities we can against the Giants bullpen, especially with an early start and shadows likely to play a factor early.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #1
    +300
    (100%)
    5-0 in Last 5 MLB ML Picks
    ATH @ TOR • Fri 7:07pm
    TOR
    -164
    Money Line
    Picked: Mar 26 @ 10:51pm

    Analysis

    The Jays will raise their AL pennant banner and that last game we saw at Rogers Centre, wow, what a true epic vs. the Dodgers. We love home teams in their openers regardless and Toronto on paper might be better than last year's club. The Rancho Cucamonga Athletics or whatever they are this year have a really good young talent base and could be quite good in 2028 when they get to Vegas (Baby!). But pitcher Luis Severino is about as wildly inconsistent as they come. By comparison, we can almost always count on Jays veteran Kevin Gausman to give six solid if not strong innings. Toronto to not bat B9 at -120 (DraftKings) is a fine cheaper alternative as would be -1.
  • expert headshot
    Zack Cimini
    +1386
    (63%)
    37-22 in Last 59 ATL ML Picks
    KC @ ATL • Fri 7:15pm
    KC
    +125
    Money Line
    Picked: Mar 27 @ 2:42pm

    Analysis

    As great as the Atlanta Braves were in spring training, everything is now reset to start their season. They were one of the worst teams to begin the year a season ago, where they started 0 and 7. Look for the pressure to start the year on a positive note, to derail game one against Kansas City when Chris Sale exits. Banking on late inning runs, or even an extra inning Royals win here. Tail KC.
  • expert headshot
    Micah Roberts
    Former Vegas Bookmaker
    DET @ SD • Fri 9:40pm
    DET
    +110
    Money Line
    Picked: Mar 27 @ 1:10pm

    Analysis

    The Tigers won 8-2 against the Padres yesterday behind their Ace and now they bring another Ace to the mound in new Tiger Framber Valdez who had an amazing spring. Valdez had four spring starts for 18.1 innings and only allowed two earned runs for a 0.98 ERA. Valdez is an underdog today. He’s ready for 2026. Tigers to win today against Michael King.

Today's Top Free Player Prop Picks

Built using SportsLine's cutting-edge machine learning, predictions and ratings are generated for each player prop by analyzing historical performance, opponent matchup scores, odds, and prop line movements
  • ATH @ TOR • 7:07 pm
    player headshot
    N. Kurtz
    Over 0.5
    -177
    Hits
    PROJ: 1.1
  • COL @ MIA • 7:10 pm
    player headshot
    K. Freeland
    Over 3.5
    -154
    Pitcher Strikeouts
    PROJ: 4
  • KC @ ATL • 7:15 pm
    player headshot
    C. Ragans
    Over 6.5
    -101
    Pitcher Strikeouts
    PROJ: 7.1

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MLB Sports Betting Terms:

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    With several games on the schedule almost every day during the season, including extensive day baseball slates on Wednesday and Sunday, MLB offers sports bettors the opportunity to take positions on baseball outcomes for a large part of the calendar from April through October. Here are some terms worth knowing if you want to become more familiar with MLB betting:

  • Lines

    The term “lines” refers to odds for bettable outcomes in MLB games, including money lines, run lines and totals. Betting on the money line involves taking one of the two sides to win the game regardless of the final score. The team that’s favored will return a lower potential profit than the underdog, with the odds offered by sportsbooks correlated to the projected likelihood of each side winning. Money lines listed as negative numbers indicate the size of a wager required to earn $100 in profit. Positive money lines show potential profit on a $100 bet. For example, a -250 favorite would require a $250 bet to have the opportunity to win $100, while a +250 underdog would pay $250 in profit for every $100 wagered if that side wins. Run lines, which are typically set at 1.5, result in adjusted payouts for each side under different win conditions. A favorite of 1.5 on the run line (listed as -1.5) requires the team to win by at least two runs in order to be marked as a winning wager, while an underdog of 1.5 on the run line (listed as +1.5) allows that side the opportunity to cash if the team wins the game or loses by just one run. Close matchups allow for much greater profit potential if bettors are willing to risk laying 1.5 runs, while backing the underdog in projected mismatches becomes more palatable on the run line.

  • Totals

    Totals wagering involves betting on how many runs will be scored in a game or in a portion of a game, such as the first five innings. Totals will be listed with a line and interested bettors choose whether the combined scoring output of both teams will be more (Over) or less (Under) than the line, with payouts listed on each side of the total. For example, a total of 8.5 with an Over of -105 and an Under of -115 would return $100 in profit on a $105 Over bet if the combined score of both teams is nine runs or more, while a $115 bet on the Under would return $100 in profit if the two teams combine for eight runs or fewer.

  • Props

    MLB props (or proposition bets) have become a major part of MLB betting, allowing bettors the opportunity to wager on outcomes outside the standard game result. These can include player props, game props and team props. Player props are a core component of MLB betting for a lot of people and play a big part in same-game parlays. Players on each team in a matchup have lines assigned to their statistical outcomes, which allows bettors to make wagers on whether those outputs will finish over or under the line. This could involve the number of hits, runs or walks a player accumulates in a game, or sometimes a combination of those stats like the popular market H+R+RBI (hits plus runs plus RBI). Bettors can also back batters to hit a home run, starting pitchers to record a certain number of outs, and many other options. Team props include team totals, which allow bettors to play over or under the scoring total of just one team in a particular game. Some markets can also involve the first team to score a certain number of runs, or which team will score first in the game. Game props involve betting on other outcomes not related to a specific player, such as whether there will be a run in the first inning of a particular game or whether a game will go to extra innings.

  • Live betting

    In addition to the action that comes before first pitch, sportsbooks also offer a way to bet during MLB games via live betting, adjusting the lines and odds in available markets to reflect the flow of the game, key injury or other factors. This allows bettors to react to changing information or evolving matchup advantages and place bets against the real-time odds offered by a sportsbook. Live betting can bring strategy into play by providing opportunities to back a trailing team that might have an increased chance of scoring the third time through the lineup against a starting pitcher or when facing a lower-rated or overworked bullpen. Certain at-bats with perceived matchup advantages or disadvantages are also a key component of MLB live betting. Hedging is also a strategy in live betting, giving interested bettors the chance to make a second bet opposite their position taken prior to first pitch at better odds. For example, if a pregame underdog bet at +1.5 on the run line takes an early lead, backing the pregame favorite with a +1.5 live run line bet gives the opportunity to win both bets if the final margin is one run.

  • Futures betting

    MLB futures betting involves making bets based around futures outcomes instead of those involving a specific game. These could involve betting on who will win the World Series, win each pennant or make the playoffs. Another popular futures market involves win totals, where bettors can back a team to win more or fewer games in a season than the line set by the sportsbook. For example, a win total bet of Over 89.5 would pay out if a team wins at least 90 games. Awards betting is also available in some states, allowing bettors to back a particular player to win a season-ending award such as MVP, Cy Young or Rookie of the Year. Some players also have lines associated with their season-long outputs, such as how many home runs they will hit during the season.