Here are 3 'creative' options the Treasury has if lawmakers can't reach a deal to raise the debt ceiling
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Debt ceiling talks are still underway in Washington, and it needs to be lifted for the government to pay its bills.
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Charles Schwab said commentators have offered three "creative possibilities" if no deal is reached.
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Minting a $1 trillion coin is among the ideas.
Washington is running low on time to raise the $31 trillion debt ceiling required to prevent the first-ever US default, but the Treasury Department may have some tricks to employ in getting cash to pay the country's obligations.
House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy on Monday threw cold water on the view that the Biden administration and Republican lawmakers may be inching toward an agreement. He told CNN both sides are "far apart" and that a deal would need to be reached by this weekend to give time for it to pass in both the House and the Senate.
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has said the government could run out of money as soon as June 1.
"A default would risk sending short-term yields higher, while riskier assets and the dollar would likely fall," brokerage Charles Schwab said in a recent note. That's what happened in the 2011 debt-ceiling showdown, which prompted Standard & Poor's for the first time to cut its US sovereign rating below AAA.
If no deal is reached, there could be a technical default, which is an extended period of time of non-payment of interest and principal on the debt.
An eventual debt deal would allow investors to receive interest and principal payments, likely with extra accrued interest, Schwab's Liz Ann Sonders, Kathy Jones and Jeffrey Kleintop said. But a severe market reaction could follow, including a jump in short-term interest rates, a drop in the dollar's value, and credit downgrades.
The government would see a long-term rise in the cost of borrowing, and the spike in interest rates would likely cause a recession and send unemployment higher, Schwab said.
But Schwab also outlined other "creative possibilities" for the Treasury Department.
1. Premium bonds
Economist Paul Krugman in a recent New York Times op-ed called premium bonds one of "two main gimmicks" that could be used as end-runs around the debt ceiling. Premium bonds are debt securities sold for higher than face value.
Krugman explained that under the premium bond idea, old, expiring bonds would be renewed by the government at higher coupon rates. Investors, for example, would pay more to hold a bond that pays $7 a year than one that pays $3.50, and offering a higher interest rate would allow Treasury to raise more money.