I understand the Broncos being large home favorites at Mile High, but +8.5 seems too wide. Considering how poorly their offense played last week against the hopeless Jets, I’m not sure Denver should be laying more than a TD on the spread against anyone. This will certainly be a difficult road start for rookie QB Jaxson Dart, but the Giants have some newfound moxie in them after beating the Eagles last week. I think they will be more competitive in this game than the market suggests.

I bet this at -7 early this week, and while the hook here isn't ideal, I also have the Broncos projected to win by 10+ on Sunday. This will be the toughest test yet for Jaxson Dart and Cam Skattebo, and emotions will be running high in Denver with the Broncos inducting franchise legend Demaryius Thomas into the Ring of Fame and celebrating the 10-year anniversary of their Super Bowl 50 win. Broncos win by double digits here.

Experience helps any QB to deal with a dynamic pass rush. Jaxson Dart has started all of three games. As promising as he has looked, the young Giant has struggled (understandably) against pressure. He's never seen anything like Denver's. The home team paces the league in QB hits, sacks (by far) and pressure percentage. However, the Broncos might not score enough to cover, which makes an Under viable. Their last three games have produced 31, 38 and 24 points. Two of Dart's three outings have wound up under this total, with lesser defenses involved.

Denver's offense didn't pass the eye test last week vs. the Jets, but the defense made sure it didn't make for an extremely uncomfy flight back to DIA from Heathrow. As always, that stop unit can make a suspect offense look bad, and the Giants have progressed with Jaxson Dart now at the controls of the offense, he's still a rookie, and the voracious Broncos speed rush looks a good elixir for Dart's mobility as Vance Joseph's platoon has put clamps on mobile QBs before. Now, can Bo Nix and the Broncos offense pick up the pace? Remember, Denver was 7-0 last season as chalk, and its last eight home wins have been by 8 points or more. Play Broncos

Broncos linebacker Alex Singleton has just 13 total tackles the past two weeks, but this is a great matchup against Cam Skattebo and the Giants. Over the past three games, since Jaxson Dart took over at quarterback, the Giants have run the ball an NFL-high 53.4 percent of the time. Singleton has a chance to hit double digits in tackles for the third time this season.

FanDuel. Troy Franklin has emerged in his second NFL season as a reliable receiver for his former college teammate, Bo Nix. Franklin has cleared this line in four of six games this season, while running the second most routes for the Broncos. Running most of his routes out of the slot, he’ll face the Giants’ Andru Phillips who has allowed the second most receptions in his coverage amongst all cornerbacks (per PFF). Overall, the Giants have allowed the second most receiving yards to opposing receivers, and Franklin should benefit from Big Blue’s high man coverage rate (third highest). I’d bet this up to over 35.5 receiving yards.

I'm a Jaxson Dart fan and feel like my Fantasy Dynasty team -- I still am in one of those but only as it's been decades -- stole him in Round 3 of the rookie draft. And he definitely "might" vulture a goal-line TD from fellow rookie Cam Skattebo, who already could be the most popular running back in the NFL. I imagine that if I asked my grandfather what the NFL looked like back in the 1950s, he'd say Cam Skattebo but as an O-lineman. I think John Riggins ... or a Caucasian Christian Okoye. CCO, that's what I'm calling Cam now. This is a great price even if Denver is good defensively -- off a trip to London, though, with no bye.

Cam Skattebo just scored three touchdowns against the World Champion Philadelphia Eagles last week, and now we get plus money for him to find the endzone just once Sunday? Sign me up! Yes, I'm a Skattebo fan and drafted him a ton in Best Ball this summer. But we can't deny that Skattebo is a wrecking ball at the goal line. He has touchdowns in three of the last five games (he had limited snaps in Week 1). No matter the matchup, when we're getting plus odds on the RB1 of a team, that also is a menace at the goal line, I'm going to bet it. Let's hope he finds the endzone either rushing or receiving on Sunday.

Courtland Sutton only had three targets in London against the Jets and caught just one pass for 17 yards. That was against Sauce Gardner. Now Sutton is back home against the Giants' defense that has given up big receiving lines to WR1s. This is a great bounce-back spot for Sutton. In the three games prior to the London game vs. the Jets, Sutton soared past this line. Look for him to soar past this line again, and I'll ladder this up to 80 receiving yards.

These two teams had very different Week 6s, with the Broncos struggling to beat the Jets and the Giants upsetting the Eagles. That makes this the perfect spot to play Denver with adjustments driving this line down to -7 (but it looks like no further). The Denver defense should dictate this game, and I don't see Jaxson Dart being able to get much at all in the passing attack or as a runner against this unit. The Giants defense is 29th in yards per rush, so the opportunity should be there for the Broncos to move the ball effectively on the ground to build and maintain a comfortable lead, even with their injury issues at one guard spot. This line should be north of 7.

Jaxson Dart has rushed for 54 or more yards in each of his starts. It’s one of his best skills. But the Broncos make it a priority to limit QB rushes. That’s why this number is so far below Dart’s average. Even so, I don’t believe it’s low enough. The Broncos’ speedy defense will force Dart to throw to beat them.

The Jets held J.K. Dobbins to 40 yards rushing last week in London, but he still got 14 carries in a neutral game script. Now Dobbins faces a leaky Giants' run defense in what should be a different game script. I like the Broncos to win by at least a touchdown, and that should mean a heavy dose of Dobbins in the second half. New York gives up 5.1 yards per carry overall and 5.5 yards per carry to opposing running backs. It's unlikely the Giants' offense will be able to maintain long drives, so I like the potential volume for Dobbins here.