Normally I wouldn't consider this with how bad the Baltimore defense has been, but it's rather damp and quite windy in Charm City today -- it might rain. So that's all this really is. Helps somewhat that Ravens star safety Kyle Hamilton should return from injury, although a few others remain out. Our model has LA right at 27 points and that's basically what I'm aiming for.

FanDuel. I’m back on Blake Corum’s rush yards today in what should be a plus matchup. The second year back had seen his touches and snap share increase in weeks two through four, before a light workload in Week 5. However, with Kyren Williams’ fumbling issues resurfacing, I do expect Corum to once again play a big part in today’s game against the Ravens. Baltimore is missing some key defenders (namely Nnamdi Madubuike and Roquan Smith), which should weaken a run defense that already ranks 27th in DVOA (per FTN). Plus, the weather forecast calls for some rain and wind, which should impact the passing game. I’d bet this up to over 27.5 rush yards.

Baltimore’s defense is in total disarray, and will now be without LB Roquan Smith and CB Chidobe Awuzie. Their secondary has played terribly, and is likely to get carved up by Matthew Stafford. The Ravens have given up a 35+ yard pass in 3/5 games this season, and Stafford is over this longest completion mark in 4/5 games. Rams WRs Puka Nacua & Davante Adams should each have chances to burn Baltimore for big plays. I like Stafford to connect on another 40-yarder this week.

Rams linebacker Nate Landman was extremely busy against the 49ers. He finished with 14 tackles, including eight solo stops. True, that game went to overtime, but it was still a monster stat line. Landman is on a one-year, veteran minimum deal for $1.1 million, so every week he's trying to state his case for a new contract. Now he faces a Ravens' team that likely will lean on Derrick Henry. Look for Landman to clear this prop total for the fourth time in six games.

We are still getting plus money for the receiver who has the 2nd most end zone targets this season (9) and 69% of his team's end zone targets. The Ravens are tied with the Cowboys for the most touchdowns given up to receivers this season (10). This is another situation where opportunity meets matchup, and I love this price for Adams to find the end zone again Sunday against the Ravens.

The Ravens offense couldn't do much of anything last week against the Texans, and they have another tough test here with the Rams coming to town. While L.A. was embarrassed by a backup QB last week, the defense has in general played well with just 4.8 yards per play allowed and ranking third in yards per rush, which could force Cooper Rush to put points on the scoreboard. That could be made even more difficult with preliminary weather reports signaling a decent chance for heavy rain and high winds. Baltimore probably needs three TDs to clear this number and I don't see that happening.