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The Broncos have been comfortably hanging out in London since last week, so body clocks should not be an issue against a Jets team that is extremely ineffective even when playing in its normal time zone. While Denver is only 3-2, its a complete team that thrives against opponents like this. New York has been able to pull itself out of major holes across recent second halves, but it cannot go out and win games unless it grabs extra possessions, which it has not this season. The Broncos have advantages in most phases but nowhere more important than head coach. Denver should run up and down the field, winning by double digits. Stay away from the hook.
It's almost 57 years later to the day (Oct. 13, 1968) since the Broncos recorded the biggest upset in modern pro football history, when, as a 22-point underdog, beating the Jets 21-13 at Shea Stadium, picking off Joe Namath five times en route. It's Denver-Jets again in London today but this time the Broncos are favored, which has been no problem for Sean Payton's Denver, which covered all seven as chalk a year ago, and apt to run up margins, like the 28-3 win over the Bengals two weeks ago. The Broncos' big-play offense looks a bad matchup for Justin Fields and the Jets, who hit London Town at 0-5. Might customs deny them re-entry on the way back? Play Broncos (at London)

DraftKings. JK Dobbins has served as the 1A running back in Sean Payton’s backfield, clearing this line in three of five games. Dobbins has been specifically utilized in the second half (50 of his 77 attempts), as Payton deploys him to finish off Broncos wins. Not only do I like that potential against the Jets, who are touchdown underdogs, but also allow the second highest first down rate on run plays. Each of the Jets last four opponents had a running back with at least 16 carries, which is right where I have Dobbins on Sunday.

Broncos tight end Evan Engram came up big in the second half of last week’s win in Philly, and I like that to carry over in a great matchup against the Jets. He’s drawn 13 targets the past two games. Look for Engram to be heavily involved Sunday.

Breece Hall gets 16% of Justin Fields' targets and is targeted on 28% of his routes. Christian McCaffery is the only running back targeted on more of his routes (29%). Hall has cleared this line and has 30 or more receiving yards in four of the five games. The Jets will likely be playing from a negative game script. So I like Hall to breeze past this receiving line.

The Jets offense faces a tough test in London going up against the Broncos, and the expectation is that they'll be playing from behind. That should lead to a nice receiving day for Hall, who has had 30+ receiving yards in four of his five games. For as good as the Broncos defense is, it has been vulnerable to RB receptions, giving up at least 29 receiving yards to a RB in every game, with Tony Pollard, Jonathan Taylor and Saquon Barkley getting over that number in a single reception. Hall might be able to do that as well, but with 4-5 receptions likely coming his way, he should get over this number regardless.
The Jets rank 29th in EPA per play on defense, which feels about five spots too high when you watch them play. They gave up three TDs and a FG in the first half against a Cowboys team with one healthy starting offensive lineman, with the last TD coming on a 67-yard drive with 29 seconds on the clock. How can you expect them to stop anyone? All the Broncos have to do to cover is shut down the Jets running game, and they're coming off giving up 45 rushing yards to the Eagles. I know the value is typically in backing winless teams at this point, but I have this line as at least a point light.
Team Injuries







