Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Understanding Public and Money
Expert Picks

FanDuel. Michael Pittman cleared this line in four of five games, with the only miss being four catches when he was matched up with Patrick Surtain. He’ll face off against a much softer secondary today - the Cardinals have allowed the fifth most receiver catches per game. And with Arizona missing both Kyler Murray and James Conner, I don’t see their offense sustaining long drives today.
Had we been a bit more clairvoyant here we might have been able to get Indy -6.5 instead of -9, as the spread has moved up with news of Kyler Murray likely missing action for the Cards. Ex-Colt (and ex-lots of others) Jacoby Brissett will be summoned from the bullpen in relief. Arizona seems snakebit, however, the first team since the merger to lose three consecutive games on last-second field goals. Will they come close again on Sunday? Maybe not, as the situation seems to be fraying, and the Colts have developed a real knockout punch this season, with a win margin of better than 20 ppg. As that's the case, even this enhanced number won't dissuade our interest. Play Colts

I’m right in line with Sia Nejad again (we cashed on Tet McMillan last week) for another receiving yards prop. One of the bigger storylines you’ll see around this game is Marvin Harrison Jr’s first game in Indianapolis, where his father spent his legendary hall of fame career. Harrison Jr. soared over this line in each of the last 2 weeks, and has recorded a 30+ yard grab in 3/5 games. The Cardinals will start backup QB Jacoby Brissett, who is a capable veteran that can still get Harrison Jr. the ball. Arizona are +9.5 underdogs, and will likely be playing from behind and forced to go pass-heavy. These factors make Harrison Jr. worth a play this week.

Too much talent and too good of an expected game script to have a receiving line south of 50 yards. Harrison has surpassed this line in each of his last two games. His targets per game are lower than I'd like, but a lot of that has been game script related. In trailing game scripts (Seattle) he was peppered with 10 targerts. I expect a trailing game script here against an average secondary. If you're narrative shopping, this is where Dad played and "Junior" has already been asked about that and embraced it. Note that if Jacoby Brissett starts I do not consider that a downgragde as it relates to this prop.
Team Injuries







