Zack's Past Picks
Recency bias can be hard to overlook in a crucial game seven to decide who goes to the World Series. The Toronto Blue Jays have captured that with winning three out of the past four games over Seattle. In fact they had game five in their grasp as well before a five run eighth inning from the Mariners. The turn of events was sparked in game three by Shane Bieber but look for this Mariners team to respond as they did in the ALDS against Detroit in game five. Seattle heads to the World Series.
The Indianapolis Colts have been consistent from an offensive stand point where they have scored twenty or more points in every game this season. They are actually averaging twenty five points per game. A big reason Daniel Jones has success has been their rookie tight end Tyler Warren. Warren has not had less then thirty eight yards receiving and his fewest targets has been four. Take the rookie tight end to have another big game today against the Chargers.
The Philadelphia Eagles just two weeks ago had a 20-1 streak going. Now they head into their road game against the Vikings having lost consecutive games. It’s a similar down turn we saw at the tail end of the 2023 season when the Eagles went 1 and 7 over their final eight games. Look for the Eagles to get in their own way, as the Vikings do just enough to get the home cover.
The Miami Dolphins have shown fight since Darren Waller got his first action in week four against the New York Jets. Miami had leads late before losing by three points to Carolina, and two points to the Chargers. Sunday could be the complete bottom spot for Miami against a Browns team that is now settled in after playing in Europe two weeks ago. Tail the home favorite here in Cleveland.
Bad teams can turn the corner in-conference. Last week Colorado State had an impressive showing defeating Fresno State 49-21. Now they are favored Saturday with a chance to win consecutive games for the first time this year. Look for their new found confidence to slow down a Hawaii offense that has peaked with consecutive games of forty four points. Tail the Rams.
Nebraska did not play their best game last Saturday in a road win against Maryland. It was their first true road game of the season, but the Cornhuskers prevailed thanks to a late touchdown. Expect a much more fluid game for the Cornhuskers and quarterback Dylan Raiola who threw three interceptions against the Terrapins. Lay the touchdown here with Nebraska.
The LA Dodgers picked up a pivotal game one NLCS victory over the Milwaukee Brewers on Monday night. Milwaukee has now lost three of its last four playoff games, and has scored three runs or less in all. That could be a big issue tonight with Freddy Peralta on the mound, as he has given up eight home runs over his last six starts. As we know playoff baseball is all about the now, and expect the Dodgers who lost all six regular season games against Milwaukee to go up 2-0 in the series. Take LA.
From a coaching and player stand point there is not a team in the NFL that has to answer with an urgent performance Sunday more than the Raiders. They have been torched defensively over the last three weeks giving up an average of 35 points, and Geno Smith has thrown nine interceptions. It’s the right opponent in the Tennessee Titans who are coming off a fortunate win over the Cardinals. Lay the number with the Raiders.
For a month the biggest question with the Chargers offense has been where is Ladd McConkey. A crowded wide receiver room and ball control offense minimized his effectiveness since week one against the Chiefs. With Quentin Johnston out, and a banged up offensive line look for Justin Herbert to redirect his attention to McConkey. Take his over today against the Dolphins.
It’s always tricky when a team is on the road in the east coast time zone in consecutive weeks. Yet, this Dallas Cowboys team was sparked by an embarrassing road loss against the Chicago Bears. Carolina may be 2-0 at home as an underdog, but defied the odds last week against Miami with a 200 yard game from Rico Dowdle. They also converted two improbable fourth downs. Take the Cowboys as Bruce Young has shown throughout his young career to not be trustworthy in consecutive weeks.
A game that will have a low attention in the betting markets is Louisiana Monroe against Coastal Carolina. Both starting quarterbacks in Tad Hudson and Aidan Armenta are ranked in the bottom twelve in the entire country for average passing yards per game. That means capitalizing on turnovers will be the main factor in a team victory. That’s an area Coastal Carolina has been dreadful, as they rank the third worst team in college football in turnover margin. Expect the outlier plays to benefit the road team in Louisiana Monroe.
Spencer Rattler has yet to get a win in his career as he is 0-10. Yet, he has had the Saints in position in several games this year, and now New Orleans returns home after a two game road trip. Over the Saints last ten games their only win was against the Giants. An x-factor is new Coach Kellen Moore as he is 6-0 in his last six games against the Giants as a play caller with the Eagles and Cowboys. Take the Saints.
The Miami Dolphins picked up an important win on Monday against a winless New York Jets team. They utilized having the extra rest advantage over New York. Now they have to travel on the road and face a Carolina team eager to bounce back after an embarrassing loss last week against the Patriots. Take Carolina where the Panthers only home game this year was a shutout 30-0 win.
UNLV and Wyoming are both coming off a bye week in what is the conference opener in the Mountain West for both. UNLV on the season is undefeated but nothing has come easy as they barely beat both Idaho State and had to come from behind against Miami Ohio. Wyoming has also been a tricky place for the Rebels who have lost five straight matchups there, and last victory was 2003. Look for that to end tonight, as the Rebels offense solidifies an ATS cover.
For the third time in four years UConn will face Florida International. On the year the Huskies have had a hard time ATS, as they are 0-4 against division one schools. A couple of close losses on the hook against Syracuse and Buffalo resulted in ATS losses. Look for the familiarity and extra preparation off a bye week to bode to the Huskies advantage. Lay the number.