George Kirby just allowed eight runs in four innings in game three. Seattle may be the better overall team but their pitching has let them down since going up 2-0. The Blue Jays are 57-29 at home on the year and have the lowest strikeout rate in the majors. Their bats are hotter and have multiple players hitting over .300 this series. Shane Bieber held Seattle to only two runs last Wednesday in six innings of work and Max Scherzer is also available tonight in a hostile environment to send their team to the World Series.

This is the first time Vanderbilt has been a favorite against an SEC opponent since 1978. The Tigers have won nine straight against Vanderbilt, covering four of the last six as well. However, the Tigers will be without White Weeks this afternoon and they’ve struggled against the run and haven’t been efficient in the redzone. Vanderbilt had an extra week to prepare for this one and with Deigo Pavia’s ability to run and the playoff atmosphere, should give the ‘Dores an extra boost.

This total has moved up with the public leaning towards the over. However, Minnesota has struggled on offense this season, only going over 30 points twice and one of them was against Northwestern State. The Cornhuskers defense has been vulnerable, and they’re 5-1 to the over on the season, but Minnesota’s may have rough patches offensively as they’ve had all season. The under is also 4-1 in their last five meetings.

Louisville is 1-4 ATS on the season. Their defense is 22nd in defending the pass and 12th in defending the run. This is one of the better defenses Caron Beck and Miami have faced so far as they almost blew a 28-3 to their rival Seminoles last week. The Hurricanes will now be getting everyone’s best shot and Miller Moss has the offensive weapons to take advantage of a poor Miami secondary.

Neither of these teams play with a lot of pace. Liberty is 5-1 to the under on the season, and the Aggies are near the bottom of the country, only averaging around 65 plays per game. Liberty's games have averaged 38 total points on the season and both teams are outside the top 100 in offensive scoring. The Flames secondary is holding their opponents passing game to under 155 yards per game and New Mexico State’s rushing attack hasn’t been efficient this season.

Toronto has lost seven of its last nine games against right-handed pitchers with an ERA under 3.50. Logan Gilbert will start instead of Luis Castillo and Gilbert has held his opponents to two runs, or less, in each of his last seven starts. The Blue Jays have won all four of Trey Yesavage’s appearances and can't afford to go down 0-2 with three games in Seattle coming up. Gilbert is off short rest in, almost, a must win for the Blue Jays.

The public is all over the Lions, as they’re one of the best cover teams in the league so far. However, Kansas City and Patrick Mahomes are 16-1 SU as home favorites when laying less than a touchdown and 19-3 SU in Primetime at home. It’s a good buy low spot for the Chiefs who still have a top 10 offense against a depleted Detroit defense.

These teams combined are 9-1 to the over this season. Arkansas has scored at least 31 points in four of their first five games, while the Volunteers have scored at least 41 points in all their games. Both teams can score in bunches. Tennessee is also 11-0 to the over when playing teams with two, or more, losses since 2020.

Both teams struggle to stop the run and have an above average passing game. Maryland blew their last home game against the Huskies, so this should be a much more focused spot. Nebraska has had issues to their offensive line which should allow the Terps to get pressure on Dylan Raiola.

This might be the time for a play on Texas. The Longhorns have been more battled tested than Oklahoma. John Mateer is expected to be back behind center for the Sooners, but they’ve had the benefit of playing the majority of their games at home. Texas’ defense is still one of the best in country, and there’s been so much talk about Arch Manning with all the question marks, but this is his opportunity now.

North Texas had an extra week to prepare for this one. While USF has just as much talent on both sides of the ball, the Mean Green has greatly improved since last season, especially defensively. Their level of competition hasn’t been as strong as USF, the defense has limited their opponents passing attack to less than 150 yards per game so far. Drew Mestemaker has thrown 11 touchdowns and has yet to throw an interception. USF’s offense can also go stagnant at times.

Cristopher Sanchez owns a 4.91 ERA in three starts against the Dodgers, allowing 10 earned runs. Tyler Glasnow, at home, owns a 2.77 ERA in 11 starts and will need to go longer than two innings, keeping their bullpen of the game until the later innings. Los Angeles will not want to travel back to the Bank for game 5 as they’re still 52-30 SU as a home favorite on the season.

Instead of going with either of their two best starters, Aaron Nola goes for the Phillies owning a 6.97 road ERA. In his one outing against Los Angeles this season, he allowed three runs in seven innings. But the Dodgers are hitting .373 this postseason at home. Yoshinobu Yamamoto blanked this same lineup in early April but with their season on the line, you’d except Philadelphia best hitters to go out swinging. If they don’t, they could get to this Dodgers bullpen owning a 6.97 ERA these playoffs.

This has been a rough start to the season for Liberty. However, UTEP is 3-10 SU in the last 13 at home and 4-16 SU in the last 20 overall. Liberty’s run game is averaging 167.2 yards rushing and should take advantage of the Miners run that’s allowing 154.8 yards per game. Liberty’s defense allows 162.8 yards per game, top 25 in country, and has the ability to take away the Miners passing attack that averages 244 yards per game.

Bullpen day for Toronto. The Blue Jays bullpen was middle of the pack during the regular season, 3.98 ERA, but in the playoffs so far, 8.76 ERA while allowing 19 hits and 12 earned runs. Cam Schlittler goes for New York, off the best start of his young career, looking for lightning to strike twice when his team needs him the most. After a home win, the Yankees are 57-39 SU and may have the momentum offensively after yesterday’s game in a win-or-go-home situation.