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Thomas Casale

Casale on Campus

A frequent guest on national radio and TV shows to discuss college sports, Tom started playing football sheets at 8 years old when his dad was the local bookie. He's been betting -- and winning -- for more than 30 years. Tom sets his own lines for each game, then looks at the metrics to see where he can find an edge in the number. Over the past three college basketball seasons, Tom is 402-247 (62 percent) -- all publicly documented. He joined SportsLine in early 2024 and has gone 89-53 in college basketball, returning $2,968 to $100 players. When the SportsLine Discord launched in November 2024, Tom became a constant presence there, releasing plays early and answering questions from subscribers. He released 19 CBB plays exclusively in the Discord, nailing 14 of them for a profit of 8.12 units. You can find his bets only on SportsLine and in the SportsLine Discord. In addition, Tom produces in-depth analysis on college basketball and college football that goes way beyond game picks. He is a frequent guest on CBS Sports HQ and "Early Edge." Casale previously worked for the Action Network and theScore as an editor and analyst. He also co-hosted the BetQL U college basketball podcast with Eli Hershkovich. Always looking to beat the odds, Thomas turned his two sons into long snappers so they can get scholarships and attend college for free. For Thomas Casale media inquiries, contact [email protected].

@TheTomCasale
LAST 7 NFL PICKS
+44
RECORD: 4-3-0
+44
4-3 IN LAST 7 NFL PICKS

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Thomas's Picks (1 Live)

Oct 24 2025, 11:30 pm UTC
League
California
@ Virginia Tech
SpreadSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+78
8-6 in Last 14 NCAAF ATS Picks
Analysis:

Cal is traveling across the country on a short week...

Pick Made: Sun 3:03 pm UTC on DraftKings

Thomas's Past Picks

Oct 20 2025, 11:00 pm UTC
League
Minnesota
3
@ N.Y. Rangers
1
Analysis:

I had the Rangers on Saturday and I'm going back to them here. This is a tough spot for Minnesota playing its fourth straight road game. The Wild have scored just four goals in the first three and things won't get any easier on Monday against New York's defense. I'll back the Rangers at -120 to win their second straight game.

Pick Made: Sun 8:04 pm UTC on DraftKings
Oct 19 2025, 8:05 pm UTC
League
Indianapolis
38
@ L.A. Chargers
24
+44
4-3 in Last 7 NFL Picks
Analysis:

I'm buying low on the Chargers. I know it was only Miami but the offense played better overall than it did in losses to the Commanders and Giants. It's not easy to fix injuries on the offensive line and while that will be an issue all season, I like what I saw last week. The Colts have been impressive this season, although they are just 1-1 on the road with the win coming over lowly Tennessee. I'll back the Chargers to win a close game at home.

Pick Made: Oct 16, 2:31 am UTC on FanDuel
Oct 18 2025, 11:30 pm UTC
League
USC
24
@ Notre Dame
34
+78
8-6 in Last 14 NCAAF ATS Picks
Analysis:

I kept waiting for this line to go down but it's moved to -10 at a couple of books, so I will settle for 9.5 with the Irish. I like Notre Dame in this spot and expect them to pull away in the second half behind running backs Jeremiyah Love and Jadarian Price, who I think could both top 100 yards rushing on Saturday. There isn't much value taking ND at this number but I'll swallow it because I think the Irish roll at home.

Pick Made: Oct 17, 11:20 pm UTC on FanDuel
Oct 18 2025, 11:00 pm UTC
League
N.Y. Rangers
4
@ Montreal
3
Analysis:

I'm going to buy low here on the Rangers after losing three straight. Defense hasn't been the issue. New York allowed just five goals in those losses and only none overall in six games this season. Montreal has won three straight, all by one goal. The Rangers have been good away from home early in the year, beating Pittsburgh and Buffalo, and losing to Toronto 2-1 in OT. I think there is some value with New York at plus money.

Pick Made: Oct 17, 5:10 pm UTC on FanDuel
Oct 12 2025, 5:00 pm UTC
League
Seattle
20
@ Jacksonville
12
+44
4-3 in Last 7 NFL Picks
Analysis:

I like this spot for Seattle. Jacksonville is coming off the emotional win over the Chiefs and while Trevor Lawrence played well on the final drive, it overshadowed an otherwise inconsistent performance. I think it's a good matchup for a Seahawks team that already has two road wins this season. I'll back Seattle as a short dog.

Pick Made: Oct 09, 12:03 am UTC on DraftKings
Oct 12 2025, 4:00 am UTC
League
Utah St.
26
@ Hawaii
44
Analysis:

I played it slow with this one because I wanted to be 100% sure Utah State QB Bryson Barnes is going to play after getting banged up two weeks ago against Vanderbilt. Barnes isn't on the injury report and multiple sources said he will start. If his status wasn't in question, Utah State would have been my first play of the week. I make the Aggies -3.5 here. Utah State fought hard versus Vandy and Texas A&M. Right now, I have them rated just below Boise State in the MWC. Two good offenses but I give the edge in QB and defense to the Aggies. Take the moneyline up to -120.

Pick Made: Oct 10, 2:54 am UTC on DraftKings
Oct 11 2025, 7:30 pm UTC
League
Wake Forest
39
@ Oregon State
14
+78
8-6 in Last 14 NCAAF ATS Picks
Analysis:

As we get deeper into the season, I'll have plays that are based purely on spot and number. This is one of them. Oregon State is 0-6 but I think the Beavers could win their first game on Saturday. This is an awful spot for Wake Forest coming off two emotional ACC games and now traveling across the country to Corvallis. Oregon State has played better at home than the road. They should have beaten Houston before losing by 3 in OT and fell to Fresno State because they literally couldn't execute a long snap. I'm selling high on Wake Forest. I make this line closer to pick. Try to get +3. Still available at BetMGM and Caesars.

Pick Made: Oct 08, 2:34 pm UTC on BetMGM
Oct 04 2025, 11:30 pm UTC
League
Colorado
21
@ TCU
35
+78
8-6 in Last 14 NCAAF ATS Picks
Analysis:

I was waiting to see if this number dropped below two touchdowns and it did at 13.5, so I'll bite. I think Colorado is going to be a good fade on the road this season. In their one game away from home, the Buffs lost by 16 to Houston. I expect a similar outcome here with TCU and QB Josh Hoover returning home after blowing the game late at Arizona State last week. Look for a big bounce back game from Hoover on Saturday. Try to get -14 or less to prevent against any backdoor situations.

Pick Made: Sep 30, 1:56 am UTC on BetMGM
Oct 04 2025, 7:30 pm UTC
League
Texas
21
@ Florida
29
+78
8-6 in Last 14 NCAAF ATS Picks
Analysis:

I am going to take a shot here with Texas. There are still a couple Longhorns -6.5 out there but I would also play this at -7. Texas hasn't played its best game yet and I like them coming off a bye against a banged up Florida team I think is about done. The Gators scored 33 points in losses to USF, LSU and Miami. I don't see them doing much against Texas' defense. Also, look for the Horns to get the running game going versus a Florida defensive line dealing with multiple injuries. Horns -7 or less.

Pick Made: Sep 30, 4:33 pm UTC on BetRivers
Oct 04 2025, 4:00 pm UTC
League
Army
31
@ UAB
13
Analysis:

Quarterback Jalen Kitna and UAB's offense should have a lot of success in this matchup. The Blazers have scored at least 24 points in every game this season. The two games where they scored exactly 24 came against Tennessee and Navy. However, the Navy game was impacted by two lengthy weather delays. The Blazers had 24 points at halftime but were shut out in the second half after sitting for a couple of hours. Army ranks near the bottom of CFB in both coverage and pressure. Kitna should torch them. The only scenario where I see this coming up short is if Army just goes on long drives and eats clock, but UAB's defense is so bad, I don't see that happening.

Pick Made: Oct 02, 11:54 pm UTC on FanDuel
Sep 27 2025, 11:30 pm UTC
League
Oregon
30
@ Penn State
24
Analysis:

I don't know which way this line will go but I like Penn State to win the game, so I'll grab the Nittany Lions on the ML now. Oregon is a very good team but I love this spot for Penn State at home coming off a bye. Oregon QB Dante Moore will be making his first start in a hostile environment against one of CFB's top defenses. James Franklin has the horses this year. If he loses this game at home, I'll never trust him in a big game again. My advice is to take Penn State -3 or less or on the ML.

Pick Made: Sep 22, 12:30 am UTC on FanDuel
Sep 27 2025, 8:00 pm UTC
League
Hawaii
44
@ Air Force
35
+78
8-6 in Last 14 NCAAF ATS Picks
Analysis:

I talked about Air Force QB Liam Szarka a lot this summer. I know someone around the AF program who told me he is the next great option QB. He thought the coaching staff would likely show loyalty to Josh Johnson to start the season but Szarka would replace him at some point. Szarka started the second half vs. Boise State and looked great. He accounted for 356 total yards, three touchdowns, and led the Falcons to 23 points. You think that earns him the starting job? It's time to buy the Falcons with Szarka at QB. Bet up to -6.

Pick Made: Sep 21, 6:01 pm UTC on Caesars
Sep 27 2025, 7:30 pm UTC
League
Ohio State
24
@ Washington
6
+78
8-6 in Last 14 NCAAF ATS Picks
Analysis:

I think this is a tricky game for Ohio State with the Buckeyes playing their first road game of the season. Washington is a team I was high on entering the season and I had this spot circled at +9 or better. The opener at DK is 10.5, so I'll grab it early. I'd play Washington at +10 or better. I think they stay within double-digits here.

Pick Made: Sep 21, 6:32 am UTC on DraftKings
Sep 21 2025, 3:00 am UTC
League
Michigan St.
31
@ USC
45
Analysis:

I was waiting to see if this number hit 54.5 but it didn't happen. My guess is it goes up on Saturday, so I'll take the 55.5. Michigan State's pass defense got lit up by Boston College and the Spartans have allowed 64 points in their last two games. I do think Michigan State's offense will put up at least 20. That should be good enough with USC doing most of the heavy lifting here.

Pick Made: Sep 20, 4:13 am UTC on DraftKings
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