Brandt's Picks (1 Live)
Brandt's Past Picks
Elche are unbeaten on home soil during La Liga play this season, while Athletic Club have lost three consecutive matches on the road across all competitions. Elche have conceded just nine times in league play, tied for the second-fewest in La Liga. Given those trends, I'm backing Elche to secure a positive result at home on Sunday.
Tottenham knocked off Bodo/Glimt in the Europa League semis last season, and now the home side will be without captain Ulrik Saltnes, who scored the lone goal against Spurs over two legs. Tottenham recorded a 2-0 away victory over Bodo/Glimt last season, and Thomas Frank’s men held Villarreal without a single shot on target on Matchday 1. I’m backing Tottenham to secure all three points on the road.
Valencia enters this match unbeaten on home soil this season, recording shutout victories in their past two La Liga fixtures at Mestalla Stadium. Oviedo, meanwhile, has lost five of their six league matches and has been shutout in their last two away fixtures. Oviedo is also coming off a 3-1 setback against Barcelona on Thursday, a game in which they conceded 80% of possession, so they could be dealing with heavy legs and fatigue against Valencia.
Wolves have yet to win a match in league play this season and have conceded 12 goals across five matches. Tottenham, meanwhile, enters the weekend third in the EPL table and has 10 goals, tied for the second-most in the league. Over 2.5 goals have also been scored in each of the last four meetings between these teams in league play, a trend I’m willing to back again on Saturday.
We’re used to seeing Diego Simeone’s side be extremely disciplined in the back, but Atletico Madrid have been leaking goals early this season. Atletico has conceded six goals in its past three matches across all competitions, and they’ve recorded only one clean sheet in seven matches overall. Now, Atletico will take on a Real Madrid side that is beaming with confidence after scoring two or more goals in six straight fixtures. The Madrid Derby can get chippy, but I expect we’ll see Over 2.5 goals in this one.
It’s rare to get this price with Barcelona, so I’m taking a chance that the Spanish side can come through in a tough environment that is St. James’ Park. Barca will be without young phenom Lamine Yamal, but they have enough attacking talent in Robert Lewandowski, Raphinha and Marcus Rashford to break down a Newcastle side that has struggled to score in Premier League play.
PSV suffered a 2-0 defeat against Telstar in their last home match, but they still managed 23 shots and controlled 71% of possession in that fixture. PSV has scored four or more goals in three of their last five matches overall, and will use their European experience to collect all three points on Tuesday.
The international break may have come at the perfect time Man City, who have lost back-to-back games and sit 13th in the table. The Citizens will look to get back on track against their cross-town rivals Man United, who have struggled out of the gate this season as well. The Red Devils needed a stoppage-time penalty from Bruno Fernandes to beat Burnley following their defeat to Grimsby Town in the EFL Cup. Pep Guardiola will have his men ready to go in what feels like a must-win for City, so give me the home side to collect all three points in the Manchester Derby.
Two teams trending in opposite directions square off when Barcelona host Inter Milan. Barcelona have lost just one of their last 28 matches across all competitions, while Inter Milan are winless in their past four fixtures, suffering three losses during that span. Barca have won five of their six Champions League home matches this season, all of those victories coming by at least two goals. Barcelona’s quest to win the quadruple is very much intact, and I expect the home side to get the job done on Wednesday.
Barcelona have been spectacular in recent weeks, recording a clean sheet in four of their last five matches across all competitions. The home side has also been lethal in the attacking third, scoring eight goals in their last two home fixtures. I expect Barcelona to come out looking to extend their lead early in this match, which would lead to Benfica pressing and creating space behind their defenders for quality players like Robert Lewandowski and Raphina to exploit in the second half.
Barcelona are unbeaten in their last 15 matches across all competitions, which includes a thrilling 5-4 victory on the road against Benfica on Jan. 21. Barcelona enters Wednesday’s match having scored eight goals over their last two games and they’ve kept a clean sheet in five of their past seven fixtures overall. Hansi Flick’s men will take on a Benfica side capable of causing frustration, but I think the Spanish giants have too much quality for the home side to contend with. Look for Barcelona to make a statement with a win over Benfica in the first leg.
Inter Milan have had the best defensive record in the Champions League thus far this season, conceding just once in eight matches. Under 2.5 goals have also been scored in six of Inter’s eight matches in this competition, including all four away fixtures. Meanwhile, Feyenoord have scored more than one goal just once in their last five matches across all competitions, and I’m expecting we'll see another cagey affair on Wednesday.
Arsenal limp into Tuesday’s contest winless in three of their last four matches across all competitions. The Gunners have been unable to secure positive results because of an attack that has failed to create many scoring opportunities. Arsenal are without two of their best attacking players in Bukayo Saka and Kai Havertz, which has led to the Gunners being held scoreless in three of their past four fixtures. However, Mikel Arteta’s men boast a backline capable of frustrating the opposition. Arsenal have conceded more than one goal just once in their last eight matches across all competitions. With the second leg set to be played at the Emirates, I expect a defensive approach from Arteta's men on the road.
Borussia Dortmund cruised to a 3-0 victory on the road in the first leg, which means Sporting Lisbon will have to press early and often if they want to have any shot at advancing to the next round. Borussia Dortmund’s shutout victory was the first clean sheet they recorded since a 3-0 win over Dinamo Zagreb on Nov. 27. These two teams combined for 13 shots on target in the first leg, and I expect plenty of scoring opportunities to come along for both teams again. Plus, Over 2.5 goals has hit in six of Dortmund’s past seven games overall, a trend I’m backing again on Wednesday.