An early game in Vanderbilt where the Commodores are coming off a bye week.

Paul, they play LSU, one of the top defensive teams in the country.

So something's gotta give this week.

I know Nussmeyer hasn't really been the guy that they thought he would be, but of course Diego Pavia has been.

He's been great, 1500 yards and 14 touchdowns, 48.5, the total in this game between these two teams.

Who do you like in this one?

Well, I'm gonna, I'm looking at the total really here, Craig, but I want to talk about just some interesting tidbits, uh, just real quickly here.

I didn't even know we kept data on sports betting point spreads this far back.

But I saw somewhere, a reputable source.

This is gonna be the first time if they close as the favorite, the Vanderbilt's been favored over LSU since way back in 1948.

So, uh, it could be the first time they're favorite over.

Uh, LSU in over 75 years and then kind of hard to put your teeth, you know, your arms around this one.

Because Vanderbilt had a good year last year.

They've been good this year, but they still have been the underdog in 51 straight SEC games.

So they are out to break that streak as well if they are favorite indeed versus LSU if they close as a favorite on Saturday, you know, we talked about, uh, or I talked about and I'm sure I did on this program as well, LSU's.

Likelihood to improve on defense this year because they did so much through the portal, uh, picked up tons of guys, uh, defensive end Patrick Peyton from Florida State, uh, Jack Pyburn from Florida, uh, cornerback Mansor Delane from Virginia Tech.

Uh, AJ Halsey from Houston in the defensive backfield.

There's a lot of guys that they've added those guys have blended so well, um, with holdovers like Harold Perkins Junior, uh, the Weeks Brothers, the linebackers, Witt and West Weeks.

So just a tremendous blend, one of the very best defenses there in the nation for LSU.

The numbers tell the story.

I'm looking at the total again.

Uh, only one of their opponents to date, Ole Miss, has scored more than 10 points against the Bayou Bengals.

Uh, Ole Miss defeated LSU 24-19 a few weeks back there in Oxford.

LSU played against 5 FBS foes this year, only allowing 12.2 points per game to rank fourth nationally in scoring defense.

Predictably, in their 5 games against FBS opponents, 5 under.

So they're 5 and 0 to the under against FBS teams, and not only under, but under by at least 14 points a game in all 5 of those games.

So they have sailed under the total.

They've scored 20 points or less.

The offense somewhat limited, as you mentioned, Nussmeier struggled, not many weapons, not much of a running game.

LSU has scored 20 points or fewer in each of their four games versus Power Four opposition.

Uh, this season Vanderbilt, they've got a little under streak of their own going.

Eight of their last nine SEC games have gone under the total.

I don't think either teamI think the winning team, I should say, I guess, is not gonna get any more than 24 points in my opinion.

So, I like the under 48.5, 48, uh, in this game Saturday in Nashville.

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