Social Structure Survey 2006 KONDA Research
Social Structure Survey 2006 KONDA Research
structure
survey
2006
K NDA
ARAŞTI RMA VE DANIŞMANLIK
Copy of this report is based on the series of articles published in Milliyet daily on 19-26 March, 2007.
The internet version in Turkish is available at the following URLs:
http://www.milliyet.com.tr/2007/03/19/guncel/agun.html
http://www.milliyet.com.tr/2007/03/20/guncel/agun.html
http://www.milliyet.com.tr/2007/03/21/guncel/agun.html
http://www.milliyet.com.tr/2007/03/22/guncel/agun.html
http://www.milliyet.com.tr/2007/03/23/guncel/agun.html
http://www.milliyet.com.tr/2007/03/24/guncel/agun.html
http://www.milliyet.com.tr/2007/03/25/guncel/agun.html
http://www.milliyet.com.tr/2007/03/26/guncel/agun.html
http://www.konda.com.tr/html/dosyalar/ttya_tr.pdf
CONTENTS
1. INTRODUCTION ....................................................................................................... 5
2. SAMPLE AND FIELD ORGANISATION ......................................................................... 8
3. DEMOGRAPHIC INFORMATION ................................................................................11
4. ETHNIC IDENTITY...................................................................................................18
6. MIGRATION ............................................................................................................36
9.1. The Majority Says “I am from Turkey First and Foremost” ..................................46
9.2. Ethnic Background Stands Out in Two Regions ..................................................47
9.3. An Unostentacious Patriotism............................................................................48
Starting today and going on for a week in the Milliyet daily newspaper, this survey is
an important first for Turkey given its subject and scope. What opinionated people
will state in their own way and more importantly, with their own sums and figures
about what they think about Turkey's social structure, this survey lays out in front of
the public in its vast scope. We believe that the survey we are publishing will be
helpful in finding solutions to many of Turkey's problems. As such, this survey will
serve as a 'cipher box.'
It is known that Turkey is going through serious problems and facing obstacles on its
journey of development and modernization. And almost everybody in the country
voice their opinions on what can provide a momentum, a rejuvination. Taking a
snapshot of Turkey's social sturcture, most notably of ethnic and religious affiliations,
and fleshing out all aspects of identity weigh significantly in formulating solutions.
Historically a transit point for peoples spanning three continents, Anatolia did not
change in ethnic composition merely as a result of conquests and wars. A thousand
years of cultural reconciliation and blending has left a distinctive mark on this
composition. Claiming similarly that there exists a single notion of Islam would do
injustice to Anatolia which has been a melting and boiling pot for centuries. In fact,
countless sects and ethnic groups, small or large, have been in constant interaction,
pushing and pulling one another. The existence of each different element has deeply
influenced another's way of being. Regardless of their size, each and every group
was important for the other. Therefore, every group, no matter how few individuals
it comprises of deserves to be in this survey.
It would be impossible to fully understand today's society without grasping how very
mobile it is geographically-speaking. For example, internal migration which began in
the 1950's with a movement from villages to cities and continued in the 1970's with
exchange between cities has been transforming the structure of the village, the city
and their inhabitants. International emigration and immigration, illegal workers,
illegal immigrants and many other popluation movements can completely overthrow
local and societal order, just as shantytowns have. The survey aims to bring such
buoyant population movements under its scope.
It would not be too ambitious to make the following claim: “Without any exception, it
is everybody's desire to live in peace and comfort in this land.” We can also easily
state that societal peace is the primary condition for surmounting the bottleneck that
our society is experiencing today.
Within this framework, taking a crystal-clear and bare snapshot such as the one you
will be following in Milliyet is crucial.
Thanks to the survey, all decision-makers can put aside estimated figures suiting
their interest and start thinking instead with a frame of reference based on unbiased,
scientifically-prepared fundamental information.
This survey entitled “Who Are We?” was conducted to be able to make a complete
and objective definition of Turkey's social fabric. The findings expose in an unbiased
manner all aspects of the identity structure of Turkey, most notably in terms of
ethnicity and religion.
For example, a question often asked but left unanswered is: How many people in
Turkey consider themselves to be a “Kurd”? The European Commission's 2004
Progress Report on Turkey states that there are “15 to 20 million Kurds” in Turkey
and DTP (Democratic Society Party) co-president Ahmet Türk has claimed that there
are 25 million but are these figures accurate? Just as important as the figures is
another question: “What do the Kurds want and what do they think about issues of
identity?”
Or what do other ethnic groups deem fit for the Kurds? Such questions have been
answered up until now to suit personal or political interests but the most truthful
answers will be exposed thanks to this survey.
Over 1500 people were employed for the most comprehensive non-
government survey ever conducted in Turkey and 47,958 randomly chosen
people were interviewed face to face.
Province 79
District 488
Number of niegborhood and villages 2.685
Urban 2.286
Rural 399
Number of interviews 47.958
The number of subjects reaching 50,000 means that this survey has 10 to 20 times
as much volume as other public opinion surveys and therefore provides that much
more “detailed” information. The one factor that deserves most care and influences
all results in such surveys is the sample, which is the process of determining where
and with whom the interviews will be conducted. In fact, despite the high numbers
of subjects, it is still difficult to represent such a large society.
The initial stages of the survey were sample preparation, literature scan and field
organisation. Then, three separate samples were prepared, with one representing
Turkey, one representing the 12 regions of Turkey and the third one representing
the 13 cities where the population will reach 1 million by the year 2010, according
Turkish Statistics Institute projections. For the sample to be statistically reliable, it
was crucial that it represent the society accurately. Therefore intersection points of
the samples were selected as locations for the interviews. The samples were also
stratified by rural and urban population, size of settlements, level of education, 2002
election results, women's participation in worklife and land prices. With all the above
mentioned parameters in mind, a large sample was prepared and a target of 49
thousand interviews in 2721 locations was set. In every village or neighborhood, 18
people were interviewed. Age and gender quotas were adhered to. The result is a
huge piece of work that both represents the society and allows for detailed
deductions to be made.
Classification of the Statistical Regions of Turkey
(Supplement to Law No 5449)
İstanbul Central Anatolia
1- İstanbul 1- Aksaray, Kırıkkale, Kırşehir, Niğde,
Nevşehir
West Marmara 2- Kayseri, Sivas, Yozgat
1- Edirne, Kırklareli, Tekirdağ
2- Balıkesir, Çanakkale West Black Sea
3- 1- Bartın, Karabük, Zonguldak
Aegean 2- Çankırı, Kastamonu, Sinop
1- İzmir 3- Amasya, Çorum, Samsun, Tokat
2- Aydın, Denizli, Muğla
3- Afyonkarahisar, Kütahya, East Black Sea
Manisa, Uşak 1- Artvin, Giresun, Gümüşhane, Ordu,
Rize, Trabzon
East Marmara
1- Bilecik, Bursa, Eskişehir Northeast Anatolia
2- Bolu, Düzce, Kocaeli, Sakarya, 1- Bayburt, Erzincan, Erzurum
Yalova 2- Ağrı, Ardahan, Iğdır, Kars
While generally no more that 3000 subjects are used for polls seeking the country's
inclination, why were 50.000 people interviewed? The first and foremost reply is
obviously “sensibility.” But as our survey has demonstrated, it is simply impossible to
generalize on people's situation, on their attitudes and behaviours, on their values
and preferences. Through its modernization process, Turkey is experiencing many
changes simultaneously. Therefore individuals' attitudes and behaviors depend
largely on where they are in the change process, how much they are part of the
economic development. Another fact the survey has revealed is that the social
structure and people's preferences are shaped by their region and their ethnic and
religious identities as much as their gender and education. For example, ethnic
affiliation may play a much stronger role in a certain preference than level of
education. The survey aims to determine the perception and tendencies of all
segments of the society. Such detailed information was only possible with such a
large number of subjects.
The sample size of the survey also allowed us to reach groups which constitute one
in ten thousand of the total population.
The part of the survey where 50 thousand people were interviewed face to face in
their homes, namely the “field work,” required 1500 people to work all over Turkey.
Of these, 22 were regional leaders, 150 were team leaders and 1400 worked as
interviewers or controllers. 47,958 interviews were conducted in almost 3000
locations in all four corners of Turkey over a span of one month and the survey was
completed in October 2006.
3. DEMOGRAPHIC INFORMATION
According to the survey, going from the west of Turkey to the east,
going from the cities to the villages, both education levels and income
decrease. Paralel to this, the size of the household increases.
Looking at the graphs about the level of education in Turkey, the most delightful
result is how much the situation of girls' education has improved. While 41.28 % of
women over 44 have primary school education, this rate is 13.71 % among women
between the ages 29 to 43 and goes down to 6.37 % for women aged 18 to 28. The
gap between men and women for secondary school and higher education seems to
closing fast (10.76 % of younger women having higher education versus 15.59 % of
younger men). With recent campaigns such as “Haydi Kızlar Okula” (Come On Girls,
to School) or “Baba Beni Okula Gönder” (Dad, Send Me to School), it can be
predicted that problems in girls' education will be solved in the near future.
Women Aged 18 - 28
Women Aged 29 - 43
Women Aged 44 or More
Men Aged 18 - 28
Men Aged 29 – 43
Men Aged 44 or More
Educational Level of Adults
Higher
Education; 8,93 Illiterate; 8,52
No Diploma;
5,15
High School;
20,77
Vocational
School; 2,86 Primary School;
38,79
Secondary;
14,98
Western Marmara
Aegean
Eastern Marmara
Illiterate
Western Anatolia Literate-No Diploma
Mediterranean Primary School
Central Anatolia Secondary School
Western Black Sea Vocational School
Eastern Black Sea HighSchool
Northest Anatolia Higher Education
Central East Anatolia
Southeast Anatolia
Turkey
Western Marmara
Aegean
Eastern Marmara
Western Anatolia
Mediterranean
1-2 Persons
3-5 Persons
Central Anatolia
6-8 Persons
Western Black Sea
9+ Persons
Eastern Black Sea
Northest Anatolia
Southeast Anatolia
Turkey
The lowest income group with less than 300 YTL per month represent 16.40 % of
the population, while the second lowest with 300-700 YTL per month constitute 44
%. Overall, 87 % of the total population earn a below average income, with 1200
YTL or less monthly for the household. Only 2 % of the population have a monthly
household income of 3000 YTL or more.
Unemployed + Not
Working 16,30
Private Sector 6,65
Worker 20,94
Agriculture 18,85
The survey that KONDA conducted for Milliyet under the direction of Tarhan Erdem
brings to light critical findings regarding the ethnic identity distribution of Turkish
citizens, a topic much discussed with a variety of figures.
The percentage among the adult population who call themselves Kurdish
or Zaza amounts to 13,4 %. However when the population below 18 is
added to the figures, this percentage comes up to 15,6 % equaling 11
million 445 thousand.
In order to see the ethnic identity distribution of the 72 million 975 thousand, i.e. the
total population of Turkey, the population below 18 must be included in the
calculations with the correct proportions.
While there are “33 children for every 66 adults” in Turkey overall, this ratio is
different for the Kurds whose fertility rates are known to be higher. Based on the
household size data in the survey, the population growth of provinces and the age
cohorts of the Kurds, it would be safe to assume this ratio to be “47 children for
every 53 adults” among Kurds. The following calculations which take this approach
into account show that Turks make up 55 million 484 thousand with 76 %, Kurds
make up 11 million 445 thousand with 15.6 % and all other ethnic groups make up 6
million 46 thousand with 8,3 %.
The 13,4 % Kurdish-Zaza population among the adult population reaches 15,68 % in
all of Turkey when the population below 18 was added.
Estimates on the Kurdish and Zaza population in Turkey have ranged between 7 and
25 million. In view of these estimates, KONDA maintains that based on its latest
survey and on TSI data, the figure of 11 million 445 thousand is more realistic for the
total population (children, teenagers and adults) for the Kurdish and Zaza population
living in Turkey as of late 2006.
Ethnic Identity
Distribution in Turkey %
Turkish 76
Kurdish-Zaza 15,7
Turkish Origin 2,8
Arab 0,7
Self-Defined in General Terms 3,9
Others 0,8
Total 100
4.4. No Hiding of Ethnic Identity
The “No Response” rate for the ethnic identity question was the same as other
questions – 2 to 3 %. This rate demonstrates that the people basically have no
problem revealing their identities.
However, in an environment where the Southeastern and Kurdish problem continues
some people may be heedy of revealing their identity and it was thus necessary to
derive indirect information about their identity. To this end, subjects' mother tongues
were taken as an indication of their ethnic identities and ethnic identity percentages
were rectified accordingly. For example if a person's mother tongue is Arabic and
defines himself as “Turkish,” this person was considered to be “Arab” and
percentages were changed according to such considerations. This also provided the
chance to determine more correctly the ethnic identity of people who defined
themselves as “Muslim” or “citizen of the Turkish Republic.” Even though this
rectification seems to be disadvantageous for the dominant identity and the
dominant language, it may be said that it brings us closer to the truth about ethnic
identities.
Mother Tongue
Distribution %
Turkish 84,54
Kurdish – Zazaki 12,98
Arabic 1,38
Other 1,11
Comparing mother tongue and ethnic identity data bears importance for
determining ethnic identity accurately and consistently. The mother
tongue for 85 % of people living in Turkey is Turkish... Second is Kurdish
and Zazaki with 13 % of the population.
Two separate questions were asked to the subjects in order to determine the mother
tongue and the spoken language. These questions were: “What is your mother
tongue, that is the language that you learned from you mother?” and “What
language is spoken in daily life, in your family?” According to the responses to these
questions, Turkish is the mother tongue for 85 % of the inhabitants of Turkey. The
second most common mother tongue is Kurdish and Zazaki with 13 % and the third
is Arabic, with 1,38 %. Comparing mother tongue and ethnic identity data bears
importance for determining ethnic identity accurately and consistently. In our survey,
some of those who stated their identity to be Turkish said their mother tongue was
Kurdish (4.08 %). Also, among those whose identities were “Kurdish” or “Zaza”, 8,82
% said that their mother tongue was Turkish.
Among those who identified themselves as “citizen of the Turkish Republic,” the
mother tongue of 14 % of them is Kurdish or Zazaki. It is a fact that some of the
Kurdish define themselves as “Turkish”, that, in other words, they have assimilated.
Yet, it is obvious that ethnic identity should be determined after having resolved such
discrepancies. In the part on identity, this approach has been applied with certain
assumptions.
In the following tables, we can see how identities are intermingled and blended and
how mother tongues have been caught up and dissolved between identities.
% as Mother
Language Tongue
Turkish 84,54
Kurdish 11,97
Zazaki 1,01
Arabic 1,38
Armenian 0,07
Greek 0,06
Jewish Languages 0,01
Balkan Languages 0,23
Caucasian Languages 0,07
Laz 0,12
Circassian 0,11
Turkic Languages 0,28
Romani language 0,01
West European Languages 0,03
Other 0,12
Total 100
Distribution of Ethnic Identities by Mother Tongue
Caucasian
Kurdish-
Turkish
Muslim
Balkan
Zazaki
Arabic
-Asian
Other
Lang.
Total
Identity
Turkish 94,41 4,08 0,66 0,04 0,18 0,49 0,12 100
Kurdish-Zaza 8,82 90,65 0,49 0,05 100
Ciziten of Republic of Turkey 83,28 14 2,11 0,3 0,2 0,1 100
Local Identities 94,33 1,98 0,28 0 2,83 0,57 100
Muslim Turkish 86,96 11,3 0,87 0,43 0,43 100
Arab 18,24 2,35 78,82 0,59 100
Immigrants 98,89 0 0 0 1,11 0 100
Self-Defined in General Terms 67,09 25,32 3,8 2,53 1,27 100
Alevi 37,18 53,85 7,69 1,28 100
Of Caucasian Origin 66,13 33,87 100
Of Balkan Origin 73,08 23,08 3,85 100
Non-Muslim 45,83 50 4,17 100
Asian Turkish 80,95 4,76 14,29 100
From Other Countries 27,27 18,18 0 54,55 100
Roma 75 0 12,5 12,5 100
Total 85,05 12,57 1,32 0,13 0,22 0,56 0,16 100
It must be taken into account that the younger generation among these groups is
less keen on expressing their ethnic identity.
KURDS ZAZAS
Their Religious Sects 4/10 Hanafi, 4/10 2/10 Hanafi, 6/10
Shafii, 1/10 Alevi Shafii, 2/10 Alevi
Social Security Status 3/10 have no 2/10 have no
security security
“Southeastern or Kurdish
problem is due to Provocation
of Foreign Countries” % 45 agree % 57 agree
Would vote for CHP if elections
were tomorrow 5% 11%
Would vote for DTP if elections
were tomorrow 23% 12%
4.9. Kurds and Arabs are Poorer and Live in More Crowded
Households
Looking at the household size among various ethnic groups, one can see that the
Kurds and Arabs live in more crowded housholds. 17,6 % of Kurds and 12,1 % of
Arabs seem to be living in households with 9 or more people.
In KONDA's survey for Milliyet, those whose “mother tongue” or “second language
known” is Kurdish make up 11,97 % of the adult population. And in the ethnic
identity question, 8,61 % of the population have defined themselves as Kurdish. As
can be seen, the findings of our survey are consistent with the historical
development.
Kurdish Speakers According to 7 Censuses
Kurdish Population Percent
(1000) (1000) (%)
1927 SSI 1184 13629 8,69
1935 SSI 1595 16157 9,87
1945 SSI 1594 18790 8,48
1950 SSI 2070 20947 9,88
1955 SSI 1942 24065 8,07
1960 SSI 2317 27755 8,35
1965 SSI 2817 31391 8,98
2007 KONDA 8735 72975 11,97
Conducted for Milliyet under the direction of Tarhan Erdem, KONDA's survey aimed
to reveal with scientific data the distribution of religious and sect affiliations in
Turkey.
Examining people's responses to the question of which religion and sect they felt
affiliated with, one can see that 99 % of the population is Muslim and by sect, 82 %
are Sunnite Hanafi and 5,73 % are Alevi-Shiite.
Accordingly the commonly guessed Alevi population equals 2 million and 895
thousand people among adults. If the population below the age of 18 is added to the
adults, one reaches the conclusion that the total Alevi population in Turkey nears 5
million (4 million and 587 thousand). Another remarkable finding is that 9.06 of the
population are Sunnite Shafii.
Region %
Istanbul 34,1
Western Marmara 23,2
Aegean 14,2
Eastern Marmara 6,8
Western Anatolia 6,3
Mediterranean 5,1
Central Anatolia 3,6
Western Black Sea 2
Eastern Black Sea 1,7
Northest Anatolia 1,6
Central East Anatolia
1,3
Southeast Anatolia
Total 100
A Third of Alevis in Istanbul
View of Sect on Marriage with Someone from Another Religioun, Ethnic Background or Country
Your Future Daughter-In-Law, Son-In-Law or Spouse
From Another Religion From Another Ethnicity From Another Country
Can Maybe Cannot Can Maybe Cannot Can Maybe Cannot
Be Be Be Be Be Be
Sunni 28,6 10,9 60,5 40 13,7 46,3 30,2 10,7 59,1
Hanafi
Suni 36,8 8 55,3 60,7 11 28,2 38 9 53
Shafii
Alevi 63,4 10,1 26,5 66,3 12,3 21,4 61 9,9 29,1
Other People
Can Live Their Have Some Have Legal Have Social
Identity Freely Yes Problems Obstacles Obstacle Total
Sunni Hanafi 57,7 30,7 7,0 4,6 100
Suni Shafii 36,7 36,8 21,4 5,1 100
Alevi 20,9 43,6 25,7 9,7 100
Northest Anatolia
Western Anatolia
Eastern Marmara
Central Anatolia
Mediterranean
Central East
Istanbul
Anatolia
Aegean
Total
Regional
Distribution of
Religious Faith
Groups
Sunni Hanafi 15 4,2 14 9,5 11 14 7 7 6 3,6 2,8 7,5 100
Sunni Shafii 11 0,3 4 2 2,6 6,9 1 0 12 21,5 38,9 100
Sunni other 32 8,8 8,8 12 12 12 2 2 6,6 3,3 100
Alevi 34 1,3 6,8 2 5,1 14 2 4 1,7 23,2 6,3 100
Nusayri 4,2 4,2 4,2 8,3 71 8,3 100
Shiite 9,8 1,2 4,3 1,2 2 79 0,6 2,4 100
Other Muslim 16 21 23 8,9 6,6 4,6 5 9 5 0,8 0,6 0,4 100
Size of
Household 1-2 3-5 6-8 9+ Total
Sunni
Hanafi 16,7 62,7 17,3 3,3 100
z First of all, the method, the sample and the way the questions are posed are critical
in such surveys on sensitive subjects. Each of these effect the validity and
reliability of the findings.
z Secondly, an important part of Alevis are heedy about exposing their identity
publicly. As the survey has also demonstrated, the dominant religious identity in
Turkey is the Sunnite Hanafism. Also, Hanafism is eheavily supported by the state
on an institutional basis. This situation causes Alevis to be subjected to pressure,
discrimination and exclusion in numerous ways and thus prevents them from
comfortably voicing their identity. As a matter of fact, the survey itself has
revealed that those living their identity freely is lowest among Alevis.
z Thirdly, the survey shows that Alevis are highly mobile, that a third of them live
in Istanbul, that their households are quite small and that the educational level has
risen. These findings point to urbanisation of Alevis. The indifferent and relatively
freer environment of larger cities cause religious and denominational identities to
become de-emphasized from time to time.
z Fourthly, in public spaces where the cizitenship-based values of the republic are
deeply-rooted, Alevis fell no need to stress their own identities. In other words,
Alevis and Sunnites have created a common culture of existence in which the
fundamental values of the republic are upheld. Alevis believe that any strong
emphasis on their own identity may harm this common culture of existence . For
this reason, they are especially reluctant to emphasize their identity.
5.3. The Poorest Religious Group is the Shafii
Shafiis make up the largest sect after the Hanafis. Not only are their
educational and income levels below average, but a third of them are also
in the lowest income group.
The economic and social situation of the Shafiis is quite noticeable as their level of
education, the size of their hoseuholds and their household income are behind the
society's average.
The percentage of those with higher education is merely 4.5 % among the Shafiis.
40 % of the Shafiis are in the lowest income group. Shafiis with no social security or
having a Green Card are 62.4 %. Households with 9 or more people make up 22.3 %
of the Shafii population. Among the Kurdish Shafiis, this percentage goes up to 27.57
%. However, quite interestingly, the size of household decreases, not as income
increases but as level of education increases.
Owning less property that the rest of society, Shafiis also more willing to move than
the nation's average. Shafiis are quite open to the idea of daughter- or son-kin-law
having a different identity. Only half (54.5 %) of the Shafiis think that they can live
their identity freely. They strongly believe in state support for ethnic and religious
groups with 91 % and 92.8 % rate of approval respectively.
Income Less
Distribution Than 300 301-700 701- 1201- 3000+
By Sect YTL YTL 1200 YTL 3000 YTL YTL
Vocational
Education School or University
Attainment Less than High or
by Sect HighSchool School College
Two of the four “Ahl ul-Sunna” schools of Islam, Hanafi and Shafii sects differ in daily life practices,
such as matter on what annuls ablution. The information provided by te Meydan Larousse
encyclopedia is summarized as follows:
Hanafism: Founded by Al-Imam al Azam Abu Hanifah. His followers Abu Yusuf Yakub Muhammed İbn-
ül-Hasan-üş-Şeybani (died 805) ve İmam Abu Yusuf, have been more influential its becoming a
school. Developing mostly in Iraq, it became the principle fiqh school of the state during the Abbasi
rule. It spread east and improved in Khorasan and Mawara'un Nahr. Although it became less
influential when the Abbasi state collapsed, with the Ottomans it regained . Today Turks in Turkey
and the Balkan countries, muslims of Albania, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Acara, Greece, Poland, Bulgaria
and Rumenia, Circassians and Georgians of the Caucaus, Daghistani Turks and Turk os Northern
Caucasia are almost all Hanafi.
Shafiism: Founded y Abu Abdullah Muhammad bin Idris Shafii (767-820). It has spread predominantly
among the muslims of Eygpt, Iran, Iraq, Endonesian islands, Sri Lanka, Indochina and Australia. There
are also followers of this sect in the east of Anatolia, in Daghistan and some regions of Central Asia.
The predominance of the Shafii sect in the Eygptian region began following the collapse of the Fatimis
with the Ayyubid rule. During the Mamluk period Sultan Zahir Baibars appointed qadi's from all four
schools but Shafii dominance lasted. In the Ottoman period, Mehmed Ali Pasha's rule accepted
Hanafism as the official state sect but Shafiism continued among the people.
Distribution of Istanbul
Residents by Place of Birth %
Istanbul 28,45
Western Marmara 3,47
Aegean 2,14
Eastern Marmara 3,63
Western Anatolia 2,37
Mediterranean 3,20
Central Anatolia 7,45
Western Black Sea 14,25
Eastern Black Sea 10,99
Northest Anatolia 8,03
Central East Anatolia 7,21
Southeast Anatolia 6,06
Abroad 2,73
30,00
25,00
20,00
15,00 %
10,00
5,00
0,00
Marmara
Marmara
Central East
Istanbul
Eastern Black
Mediterranean
Northest
Western Black
Western
Western
Southeast
Central
Eastern
Anatolia
Abroad
Anatolia
Anatolia
Aegean
Anatolia
Anatolia
Sea
Sea
5 Years or Less
6,97
6 to 10 Years 6,10
More Than 10
Years 24,87
Own property in place of residence? Own property in
place of birth?
Yes No Yes No
62,09 37,91 45,03 54,97
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Yes No Yes No
Istanbul
Aegean
Western Anatolia
Place of Residence
Central Anatolia
Place of Birth
Eastern Black Sea
3rd place
Central East Anatolia
Turkey
0% 50% 100%
Young people with university education stand out as the most mobile segment. Of
these, 24.78 % of young women and 21.33 % of young men have been in the same
place for 5 years or less. Those with secondary education or less seem to be more
settled. The more settled, the more people want their children to stay. But still, all
groups envision the future of children elsewhere, not where they live. The replies of
“Do Not Want Children to Settle Here” and “Can Settle Depending on Conditions” are
lowest among people aged 44 or older. This percentage is highest however among
well-educated people less than 29. In this group, women saying “Do Not Want
Children to Settle Here” and “Can Settle Depending on Conditions” is 64 % and men
saying the same is 61 %.
Feels Settled
Yes
Wants Children to Settle
No
in Same Place
Depends on Conditions
0% 20 40 60 80 100
% % % % %
6.7. Out of every thousand people, 373 have migrated
Most striking findings of the survey are on migration:
The first finding is that out of every 1000 adult, 627 of them still live where they
were born but 373 have migrated elsewhere. In other words, a third of the
population do not live in their place of birth. The second important finding is that out
the 373 people who have moved at some point, 243 came to their current place of
residence 10 years before or even earlier, 60 came 5 to 10 years ago and 69 of them
came in the past 5 years or later. The third crucial finding is that 254 of the 373
people still identify themselves as belonging to their place of birth. In other words,
when asked “Where are you from?” they still quote their hometown's name. Most
notably, among the 243 who have moved 10 years ago or earlier, 160 of them still
do not feel they belong where they live; their hearts still lie in their hometown.
Some people say that the following are prerequisites to truly be a citizen of the
Republic of Turkey. Some people say that they are not. In your opinion, are each of
the following a must or not?
z Is it a prerequisite to be ethnically Turkish?
z Is it a prerequisite to claim one is from Turkey, regardless of ethnic
background?
z Is it a prerequisite to be a Muslim?
z Is it a prerequisite to love Turkey?
Arabs think like the rest of society in other issues, but when it comes to the
prerequisite of being ethnically Turkish they mostly disagree. 29,8 % of Arabs who
view ethnic Turkishness as a condition for citizenship. Kurds agree with the society at
large regarding muslimness as a prerequisite for citizenship but they think differently
about ethnic background. 76,3 % of Kurds think that being ethnically Turkish is not a
prerequisite of citizenship and 40,3 % of them think of saying “I am from Turkey”
regardless of ethnic background as a prerequisite. As for loving Turkey, 52,5 % of
Kurds view it as a must. Those who least view muslimness as a condition are the
remaining ethnic groups. Only 38,5 % identifying themselves in these groups say
that it is a must.
Which of the following are prerequisites for being a citizen of the Republic of
Turkey? (Distribution by ethnic background)
Being Ethnically Saying "I am from Being muslim Loving Turkey
Turkish is a Turkey" is a is a is a
Prerequisite Prerequisite Prerequisite Prerequisite
Turkish 48,6 66,6 54,6 84,9
Turkish
background* 46,8 63,7 58,9 82,8
Kurdish / Zaza 14,6 39,2 51,3 52,5
Arab 29,8 63,1 55,7 80,0
Self-defined in
general terms 50,5 63,2 53,8 82,3
Others 29,5 57,9 38,5 69,4
All of Turkey 45,8 64,2 54,4 82,2
* Balkan, Caucasian migrants etc. ** World citizen etc. *** Greek, Armenian etc.
Should the state support ethnic groups so that they can protect their customs and
traditions?
Should the state provide support so that citizens can freely exercise their religious
beliefs according to their own rules and manner of worship?
Our people have approached the question of state support for other groups quite
tolerantly (Once this question is asked for a specific group, this approach changes).
State support to ethnic groups is approved by 66,58 % and to religious groups by
76,45 %. Women have been more approving than the general public. As education
increases and age decreases, state support is further promoted. Support to religious
groups is more acceptable than to ethnic groups.
The subjects were offered seven choices for expressing their identity.
59.14 % of them stated that they would rather be identified as “from
Turkey.” Religion and set was the second choice after this with 42.11 %.
Ethnic backgroung was fourth however, with 13.96 %.
In the survey that was conducted in 3000 locations all over Turkey with a staff of
over 1500 people, 47,958 people were interviewed face-to-face. The aspects people
prefer or stress more when defining their own identities for this “social fabric” survey
bears a lot of significance.
In order to extract this data, the subjects were presented the following options and
asked which ones they would prefer to use when expressing their own identity:
We presented these options to the subjects one by one and asked how important
they thought they were.
Another tendency that the survey set out to measure was people's attachment to
their identities. In order to determine the feelings of loyalty to one's identity, a
personal question was directed to the subjects: “Can your future daughter-in-law,
son-in-law or spouse be from a different religion, ethnicity or country?” The first
point to be noticed is that people are rather strict in their attitudes regarding this
subject. Those who emphasize “being from Turkey” and “religion-sect” rather than
“ethnic background” in defining their identity are the same people who are less
compromising about becoming family with people from another country or religion.
Generally speaking, people are more accepting of marriage with someone from
another ethnic background but refuse such proximity when it's someone from
another country.
Examining all responses to this question group together reveals that people are most
tolerant to marriage with someone from a different ethnic identity. Being from
another religion is the least acceptable difference. People seem to see ethnic identity
and differences in ethnicity as less important than their religious identity and
religious differences.
11. LIVING ONE’S IDENTITY
After having brought to light the different identity definitions, it was also necessary
to mete out the social circumstance about how free people are to live out these
identities. The correct method for this requires two phases. First the subjects were
asked whether they could freely and peacefully live the identities that they saw
“descriptive of themselves.” Then they were asked whether “other people could live
their own identities.” A vast majority, namely 82,55 %, of the subjects said that they
could live their own identities. Only 3,91 % who thought they had legal problems.
11,93 % stated that they face some problems but they could live their identities and
1,61 % said they faced social obstacles.
However, the question “Can others live their identity?” revealed a rather different
picture. This time 53,57 % said “Yes.” In other words, the rate of people thinking
that others have problems living their identities is higher. Similarly, 31,91 % of the
subjects thought that other people had some problems, 9,38 % that they faced legal
obstacles and 5,14 % that they faced societal obstacles.
The view of different ethnic groups on living their own identity lies, as can be
expected, on a wide range of approaches. Those who define themselves as ethnically
Turkish are a bit more comfortable living their identities (86,8 % say “Yes”) and their
view on others having problems is a bit more optimistic. The view of those of Turkish
origin is not very different than the average of Turkey.
However, none of the ethnic identity groups have a stance as clear and as different
as that of the Kurds. Whereas people in Turkey believe that they can live their own
identity (82,5 %) and other can live it (at 53,57 %), only 39,2 % of Kurds say that
they can live their identity and only 24,9 % say that other can live their identities
freely.
The survey conducted for Milliyet under the direction of Tarhan Erdem with 47,958
people face to face, aimed to attain reliable figures about Turkey's social fabric.
Understanding how the social fabric affects public opinion and how people think were
other objectives.
As part of this context, survey subjects were asked for their opinions on the
Southeast and Kurdish issue. To be able to obtain the real opinions of people on such
a sensitive issue, two carefully selected questions were phrased in the following
manner:
1- Do you believe the following views on the Southeastern or Kurdish issue are
true or false?
2- For the solution of the Southeastern or Kurdish issue, do you find the following
policies to be correct or wrong?
The responses show the primary reason of the Southeastern and Kurdish issue to be
provocation of foreign countries (87,03 %) and the secondary reason to be Kurds'
desire to establish a separate state (74,53 %). The regions with the highest
percentage of people saying that the cause is “Kurds' identity issue” are Central
Eastern Anatolia at 60,99 % (Hakkari, Bitlis, Bingöl, Elazığ, Malatya, Muş, Tunceli,
Van) and Southeastern Anatolia at 56,61 % (Adıyaman, Batman, Diyarbakır,
Gaziantep, Kilis, Mardin, Siirt, Şanlıurfa, Şırnak). Believing that is it caused by “the
state treating Kurds differently” are Central Eastern Anatolian (49,66 %) and
Southeastern Anatolian regions (44,99 %).
Correct
Correct
Correct
Correct
Correct
Wrong
Wrong
Wrong
Wrong
Wrong
Wrong
Turkish 28 72 29,3 70,7 44,6 55,4 36,2 63,8 34,2 65,8 83 17
Of Turkish 35 65 32,8 67,2 51,5 48,5 43 57 40,5 59,5 77,2 22,8
Origin
Kurdish 93,2 6,8 94,7 5,3 84,1 15,9 94,9 5,1 81,6 18,4 52,1 47,9
Arab 66,3 33,8 66,7 33,3 64,1 35,9 64,3 35,7 57,1 42,9 80 20
Self-Defined 42,7 57,3 44,1 55,9 50,9 49,1 47,7 52,3 38,9 61,1 80,9 19,1
in General
Terms
Other 45,3 54,7 38,4 61,6 59,1 40,9 52,1 47,9 48,1 51,9 79,4 20,6
Turkey 35 65,1 36,3 63,8 48,3 51,7 42,4 57,6 38,8 61,2 80,3 19,7
Kurds must be granted their right to education in their own language. 34,95 65,05
Kurds must be granted their right to publication in their own language. 36,25 63,75
Councils of municipalities and special provincial administrations must be
elected by plebiscitary vote and granted extensive authority. 48,33 51,67
The state must provide support so that the Kurdish customs and traditions
can develop and live on. 42,37 57,63
The parliamentary election threshold must be removed. 38,84 61,16
The only way is to end terror. 80,3 19,7
Regional differences are not so great about the suggestion of “ending terror.” In all
regions, more than half of the population believe that “ending terror” is correct as a
solution.
As for the suggestion “Kurds must be granted their right to broadcasting in their own
language,” those with Turkish mother tongue support it by 28.3 %, those whose
mother tongue is Kurdish or Zaza support it by 89,5 % and those with other mother
tongues support it by 47,6 %.
Some of the questions were posed in the exact same way in the two surveys. To
compare the data, the initial step was to compare the current Istanbul sample with
the current Turkey sample. Seeing that there were no significant differences, we
decided that it was possible to compare the findings of the 1993 Istanbul survey with
the 2006 Turkey survey and that meaningful results could be extracted.
Comparing the two surveys, most remarkable was a shift from 1993 to 2006 in
Kurds' views on the matter. Among the Kurds, the replies of “Correct” to “The
Southeastern or Kurdish problem is caused by Kurds' desire to establish a separate
state” has fallen from 41 % to 34,4 % and negative responses have risen from 33 %
to 65,6 %.
As for the suggestion “It is caused by provocation of foreign countries”, those saying
“Correct” increased from 23 % to 51,8 % and those saying “Wrong” increased from
41 % to 48,2 %. Most remarkable is the shift on the view “Local administrations
should be granted more extensive authority.” This suggestion had 32 % support
among Kurds in 1993 and now it has risen to 84,1 % and those who were against
this suggestion fell from 23 % to 15,9 %.
What is the Cause of the Problem Correct Wrong
According to Kurds; Is Increasing
1993 2006 1993 2006
Local Authority a Solution?
Kurds’ Desire to Form a Separate State 41 34,4 33 65,5
Provocation of Foreign Countries 23 51,8 41 48,2
Extended Authority to Local Administrations 32 84,1 23 15,9
Undecided Will Not Other DTP DYP MHP CHP AKP
Vote + Parties
None
Women Aged 18-28 16,26 20,77 12,43 21,60 8,28 9,20 14,76 14,17
Women Aged 29-43 18,22 15,43 13,13 12,11 13,80 10,63 14,76 17,80
Women Aged 44 + 17,54 13,69 12,40 12,60 13,58 8,08 15,30 16,46
Men Aged 18-28 12,81 17,53 18,81 21,28 15,12 25,37 15,39 13,87
Men Aged 29-43 15,26 17,34 20,37 21,44 19,54 27,74 18,15 17,38
Men Aged 44+ 19,91 15,23 22,87 10,97 29,69 18,97 21,64 20,32
z Which party or leader would you vote for if there was a general election
tomorrow?
z Which party did you vote for at the 2002 general elections?
These questions did not aim to forecast the election results. Rather, the aim was to
obtain clues about political tendencies of people with different ethnic and religious
identities and from different demographic segments. Therefore, the frequencies (the
raw response rates) of these questions, especially of the “hypothetic election
tomorrow” question have not been included in the evaluations. The results were
used in outlining the political tendencies of different identities and demographic
segments and in drawing profiles of voters and partisans.
Prof. Dr. Sencer Ayata – METU (Middle East Technical University) Social
Sciences Institute Director
Dr. Mustafa Şen – METU Department of Sociology
Dr. Aykan Erdemir – METU Department of Sociology
Basing our analysis on the KONDA survey data, we have strived to outline the main
trends relating to national, ethnic, religious and local identities rather than focusing
on exact numeric values.
In Turkey and throughout the world, as a general trend, the emphasis on ethnic and
religious trends is increasing especially after the Cold War era. In the last few years,
not only in Turkey but in many countries, from Russia to France, from Iran to Bolivia,
nationalism is rising.
Before discussing the issue, we would like to point out that ethnic and religious
identities are only two factors of the social structure and political culture. Identities
are not stagnant, their borders shrink and expand depending on conditions. They are
not stagnant because their content can be re-interpreted and can change.
The answers to the questions on identity in the survey point toward four main
trends. The first and most fundamental trend is the bond of cizitenship (Türkiyelilik)
becoming an important identity element. Expressed in daily language, most of the
subjects define themselves as “people of this country.”
Alevi-Sunni Softening
In the survey, three points stand out regarding the Alevis. Firstly, Alevis are
geographically the most mobile group. The majority of Alevis now live in urban areas.
The educational level, the household size and the income level suggest that Alevis
are quickly urbanising. Secondly, quite differently from other groups, most of Alevis
state that they cannot freely live their identities. This viewpoint seems to be the
result of facing multi-faceted pressure, discrimination and exclusion.
Thirdly, Alevis stand out as the group most open to marriages with other groups.
Urban life softens the traditional borders between Alevis and Sunnis and creates
common living spaces. On the other hand, the borders between Alevis and certain
fundamentalist groups of Islam are becoming even more acute.
Fellow townsmanship is not as binding and exclusive at one may think. On the
contrary, it is easy to enter and leave these groups and group members have
freedom of movement. As townsmanship does not compete with national, religious,
ethnic or political identities, it can go hand-in-hand with these. Emphasis on local
identities whether in the village or town environment or in the city reflects the
significance they have in the subject's daily life.
Kurds Votes Divided in the West
Religious identity is in the foreplan for Kurds in the east and AKP and DTP
are competing. Yet in the west, Kurds’ votes are divided.
People emphasizing their ethnic identity are only 14 % of the subjects. The survey
does not provide data that would pinpoint a Turkish nationalism which upholds blood
or shows an exclusivist attitude towards people from different backgrounds. As
people from ethnic backgrounds such as Laz, Circassian, Bosnian, Georgian or Arab
represent very small percentages in the survey results, it is impossible to make any
evaluation. An important part of those who have identified themselves as “Kurdish”
are clearly separate from other ethnic groups in terms of their approach to political
issues.