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Meta-Analysis
. 2024 Aug 1;81(8):757-768.
doi: 10.1001/jamapsychiatry.2024.0994.

Differential Outcomes of Placebo Treatment Across 9 Psychiatric Disorders: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Affiliations
Meta-Analysis

Differential Outcomes of Placebo Treatment Across 9 Psychiatric Disorders: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Tom Bschor et al. JAMA Psychiatry. .

Abstract

Importance: Placebo is the only substance systematically evaluated across common psychiatric diagnoses, but comprehensive cross-diagnostic comparisons are lacking.

Objective: To compare changes in placebo groups in recent high-quality randomized clinical trials (RCTs) across a broad spectrum of psychiatric disorders in adult patients.

Data sources: MEDLINE and the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews were systematically searched in March 2022 for the latest systematic reviews meeting predetermined high-quality criteria for 9 major psychiatric diagnoses.

Study selection: Using these reviews, the top 10 highest-quality (ie, lowest risk of bias, according to the Cochrane Risk of Bias tool) and most recent placebo-controlled RCTs per diagnosis (totaling 90 RCTs) were selected, adhering to predetermined inclusion and exclusion criteria.

Data extraction and synthesis: Following the Cochrane Handbook, 2 authors independently carried out the study search, selection, and data extraction. Cross-diagnosis comparisons were based on standardized pre-post effect sizes (mean change divided by its SD) for each placebo group. This study is reported following the Meta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (MOOSE) reporting guideline.

Main outcome and measure: The primary outcome, pooled pre-post placebo effect sizes (dav) with 95% CIs per diagnosis, was determined using random-effects meta-analyses. A Q test assessed statistical significance of differences across diagnoses. Heterogeneity and small-study effects were evaluated as appropriate.

Results: A total of 90 RCTs with 9985 placebo-treated participants were included. Symptom severity improved with placebo in all diagnoses. Pooled pre-post placebo effect sizes differed across diagnoses (Q = 88.5; df = 8; P < .001), with major depressive disorder (dav = 1.40; 95% CI, 1.24-1.56) and generalized anxiety disorder (dav = 1.23; 95% CI, 1.06-1.41) exhibiting the largest dav. Panic disorder, attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder, posttraumatic stress disorder, social phobia, and mania showed dav between 0.68 and 0.92, followed by OCD (dav = 0.65; 95% CI, 0.51-0.78) and schizophrenia (dav = 0.59; 95% CI, 0.41-0.76).

Conclusion and relevance: This systematic review and meta-analysis found that symptom improvement with placebo treatment was substantial in all conditions but varied across the 9 included diagnoses. These findings may help in assessing the necessity and ethical justification of placebo controls, in evaluating treatment effects in uncontrolled studies, and in guiding patients in treatment decisions. These findings likely encompass the true placebo effect, natural disease course, and nonspecific effects.

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Conflict of interest statement

Conflict of Interest Disclosures: None reported.

Figures

Figure 1.
Figure 1.. Random-Effects Meta-Analysis Estimates of Pooled Pre-Post Placebo Effect Sizes
Random-effects meta-analysis estimates of Cohen dav pooled pre-post placebo effect sizes (ES) and 95% CIs of placebo groups in randomized clinical trials by diagnosis (90 studies; 10 for each diagnosis). ADHD indicates attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder; GAD, generalized anxiety disorder; MDD, major depressive disorder; OCD, obsessive-compulsive disorder; and PTSD, posttraumatic stress disorder.
Figure 2.
Figure 2.. CGI Severity Score Based Random-Effects Meta-Analysis Estimates of Pooled Pre-Post Placebo Effect Sizes
Pooled pre-post effect sizes (Cohen dav), 95% CIs, and 95% prediction intervals (PIs) in random-effects meta-analysis in randomized clinical trials of 9 different psychiatric diagnoses. Q = 71.2; df = 8; P < .001. ADHD indicates attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder; GAD, generalized anxiety disorder; MDD, major depressive disorder; NA, not assessed (all studies share a common effect size; thus I2 was very low and there was no difference between CI and PI); ND, not done (number of studies too small for valid determination [ie, <3 studies]); OCD, obsessive-compulsive disorder; and PTSD, posttraumatic stress disorder.

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