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Randomized Controlled Trial
. 2012 Apr 24;78(17):1315-22.
doi: 10.1212/WNL.0b013e3182535cf6. Epub 2012 Apr 11.

Survival in MS: a randomized cohort study 21 years after the start of the pivotal IFNβ-1b trial

Affiliations
Randomized Controlled Trial

Survival in MS: a randomized cohort study 21 years after the start of the pivotal IFNβ-1b trial

D S Goodin et al. Neurology. .

Abstract

Objective: To examine the effects of interferon beta (IFNβ)-1b on all-cause mortality over 21 years in the cohort of 372 patients who participated in the pivotal randomized clinical trial (RCT), retaining (in the analysis) the original randomized treatment-assignments.

Methods: For this randomized long-term cohort study, the primary outcome, defined before data collection, was the comparison of all-cause mortality between the IFNβ-1b 250 μg and placebo groups from the time of randomization through the entire 21-year follow-up interval (intention-to-treat, log-rank test for Kaplan-Meier survival curves). All other survival outcomes were secondary.

Results: After a median of 21.1 years from RCT enrollment, 98.4%(366 of 372) of patients were identified, and, of these, 81 deaths were recorded (22.1% [81 of 366]). Patients originally randomly assigned to IFNβ-1b 250 μg showed a significant reduction in all-cause mortality over the 21-year period compared with placebo (p = 0.0173), with a hazard ratio of 0.532 (95% confidence interval 0.314-0.902). The hazard rate of death at long-term follow-up by Kaplan-Meier estimates was reduced by 46.8% among IFNβ-1b 250 μg-treated patients (46.0% among IFNβ-1b 50 μg-treated patients) compared with placebo. Baseline variables did not influence the observed treatment effect.

Conclusions: There was a significant survival advantage in this cohort of patients receiving early IFNβ-1b treatment at either dose compared with placebo. Near-complete ascertainment, together with confirmatory findings from both active treatment groups, strengthens the evidence for an IFNβ-1b benefit on all-cause mortality.

Classification of evidence: This study provides Class III evidence that early treatment with IFNβ-1b is associated with prolonged survival in initially treatment-naive patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis.

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Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1. Patient identification and vital status at 21-year-long-term follow-up
IFNβ-1b = interferon β-1b.
Figure 2
Figure 2. Kaplan-Meier survival curves for time from pivotal trial randomization to death and from onset of clinical symptoms to death
Survival from pivotal randomized controlled trial randomization over 21 years is shown for interferon β-1b (IFNβ-1b) 250 μg vs placebo (A) and IFNβ-1b 50 μg vs placebo (B). Time from onset of clinical symptoms to death is shown for IFNβ-1b 250 μg vs placebo (C) and IFNβ-1b 50 μg vs placebo (D). Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) are estimated using Cox proportional hazard models without stratification.

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